Purpose of the development: Improving the efficiency of the anti-terrorist protection in the field of energy, transport systems, technological hazards of military facilities by developing a comprehensive methodology of preventing and combating terrorist acts on objects that are vulnerable to terrorist regard.

Recommended application field: Industry sector - the fight against terrorism.   The results can be implemented in the operational activities of the law enforcement official.

Technical characteristic: Objective: To develop a theoretical rationale and methodology of comprehensive analysis of the terrorist vulnerability of the energy, transport systems and technological hazards lash-Skov objects and people Khmelnitsky region by identifying at early stages of the threats, risks groups that define the construction and operation of these facilities, as well as the creation of new spectacular antiterrorist protection systems that ensure minimization of possible losses.        The object of study - energy, transport complex and technologically dangerous military sites Khmelnitsky region.        The subject of research - research methods and techniques of forecasting and assessment of threats to vulnerable risk of terrorist and Khmelnitsky region and population monitoring of their terrorist vulnerability.        Research Methods - tuple algebra, graph theory, expert evaluation, the method of analysis of hierarchies and methods of mathematical modeling.        Obtained during the execution of the complex method of preventing and combating terrorism investigations will significantly improve the readiness of forces and means of special PID Rozdil to the qualitative performance of tasks in relation to the possible release of the hostages and neutralize the Thero-Rist in conducting anti-terrorist operations. In general, this will increase the level of antibodies roristichnogo protection and preparedness of local authorities and others to combat terrorism in the prevention and cessation of attacks on public figures, critical infrastructure and improve the safety of the population that threaten the lives and health of a large number of people.   The practical value of the results is because a large part of them can be implemented in the operational activities of the law enforcement official as Hmelnichchiny and dear friend of the region, and the proposed software system analysis of threat of terrorist vulnerable objects with the intuitive user interface provides prompt settlement of accounts, which cover nine areas of their construction and operation.    The methods, techniques and algorithms were tested during two round tables and a scientific-practical seminar with the participation of leading specialists of the state and the region in this particular field of protection of national security, representatives of MAE in the Khmelnitsky region, representatives of law enforcement agencies and local authorities, scientists.       Some partial results of the work will improve the system for the anti-terrorist protection of the main object of the vulnerable - Khmelnitsky nuclear power plant, greatly enhance coordination and ensure optimum use of manpower and resources of different departmental supplies, which are used in anti-terrorist operations in the KNPP.

Advantages over analogues: Scientific novelty of the results of the work lies in the fact that it was the first on the basis of the methodology implemented a conceptual analysis of the terrorist state of vulnerability of the energy and transport sectors Khmelnitsky region, making it possible to characterize a group of threats and risks on which to work out the method of their evaluation.     For the study of the problem, we have been elected to the mathematical apparatus of the algebra of tuples, which allows you to efficiently build algorithms regarding the processing of data, which are of different nature, and move them to a numerical measurement. Subsequently, the level of threat model has been presented in the form of a column loaded with fuzzy near the top. The use of graph theory to solve this problem and allowed us to obtain a simple vidpovidayuchi real-time processes of the formula for the calculation of the elements that characterize the vulnerability of a terrorist state. For the automation of mathematical problem solving has developed a software product that provides the performance of settlements on the definition of terrorist threats to vulnerable accordingly proposed algorithm. The developed program provides for the introduction of the window and edit data, as well as the window of opportunity for direct payments.

The development stage readiness: The working documentation is developed

Technical and economic effect: We propose a systematic approach analyzing the factors that determine the construction and operation of terroristically vulnerable targets provided the opportunity to fully explore the structure and features of their construction.     The practical value of these results is because a large part of them can be implemented in the operational activities of the law enforcement official as Hmelnichchiny and dear friend of the region, and the proposed software system analysis of threat of terrorist vulnerable objects with the intuitive user interface provides prompt settlement of accounts, which cover nine areas of their construction and operation.     The methods, techniques and algorithms were tested during two round tables and a scientific-practical seminar with the participation of leading specialists of the state and the region in this particular field of protection of national security, representatives of MAE in the Khmelnitsky region, representatives of law enforcement agencies and local authorities, scientists .     Released the results of the textbook "Modern terrorism: global, national and regional trends", which is recommended for employees of state agencies, local authorities, law enforcement officials (Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service, Ministry of Emergency Situations of Ukraine), faculty, graduate students and students educational institutions and the public.

Description of the development:
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The purpose of the project: theoretical basis and development of an integrative analysis of the terrorist vulnerability of the energy, transport systems and technological hazards eyelashes Skov objects and people Khmelnitsky region by identifying at early stages of the groups of the threats and risks that define the construction and operation of these facilities, and the creation of new effective antiterrorist protection systems that ensure minimization of possible losses.    The object of study - energy, transport complex and technologically dangerous military sites Khmelnitsky region.    The subject of research - research methods and techniques of forecasting and assessment of threats to vulnerable risk of terrorist and Khmelnitsky region and population monitoring of their terrorist vulnerability.    Research Methods - tuple algebra, graph theory, expert evaluation, the method of analysis of hierarchies and methods of mathematical modeling.    Current state of the world and in Ukraine: the international community recognizes the urgent problem of terrorism is present, a threat to the functioning of the entire system of international security.    Today, terrorism represents a real threat to any state and the level of public danger is growing. Under the influence of multiple factors in the political, economic, social, and religious spheres of society, he constantly changes its shape, gradually acquires its extreme about revealing.     The issue of combating terrorism, in particular its international manifestations, especially sharpened after the events of September 11, 2001 in the United States and hostage-taking in Moscow, October 23, 2002 While at the present time Ukraine as a whole, Khmelnytsky region, in particular, not considered leaders of international terrorist and religious extremist organizations as an object to carry out terrorist attacks, at the same time, there are some assumptions and factors that increase the threat of terrorist activity. These factors external and internal, the spread of terrorism in our country are: - May stay in the territory of Ukraine supporters of terrorist organizations; - Use of the leaders of terrorist organizations in Ukraine in order to obtain additional sources of funding through the participation of their supporters in the smuggling operations, illegal migration, drug trafficking, counterfeiting of money and the like; - The negative aspects of migration processes that have led to an increase in the number of illegal immigrants; - The presence of objects on the territory of Ukraine (enterprises, laboratories), which are produced and used dangerous chemical, biological and radiological materials and substances that create the objective conditions for possible acts of terrorism technology.     In our country, the development of terrorism also contribute to deep social and economic crisis, the opposition political forces and the increasing manifestations of separatism, poverty and lumpenization a large part of the population, the processes of social stratification, the development of the criminal enterprise and government institutions, corruption of the state apparatus, the development of a powerful illegal arms market, devaluation of moral and spiritual values.     The analysis of institutions suggests that the most common motivation in Ukraine commit terrorist acts playing: - Criminal activities, especially in its transnational forms; - An attempt to interfere with the social, political, or economic activities; - The creation of tension or stress in inter-state relations.      Therefore, studies related to the development of a methodology based comprehensive analysis of international terrorism, the legal framework and international legal principles of preventing and combating terrorism and countering the financing, the conceptual analysis of the terrorist vulnerability of the energy, transport systems, technological hazards of military facilities, and development of methods of estimation of threat of terrorist vulnerable targets, complex methods of preventing and combating terrorist acts is an important national and regional assignment.      Development of methodology for evaluating threats to energy, transport systems, technological hazards of military facilities, which takes into account the actual conditions of construction, operation and interaction of the elements of the system, as well as the risks of external and internal nature of the spread of terrorism in our country, is a multi-factor optimization problem, which is under development and did not get to the last time an acceptable practice for a complete solution.      In this regard, there was a need of formulating and solving actual scientific tasks, which is important for preventing and combating terrorism values ??- improve anti-terrorist protection in the field of energy, transport systems, technological hazards of military facilities through the development of a complex technique of preventing and combating terrorist acts on objects vulnerable to terrorist regard.      The main ideas of previous research and development, which are the basis of the project.  The project is based on the results of research conducted by a team since 1992. Experts and scientists have extensive experience in the center of scientific research, as well as military and law enforcement experience.      Analysis of threats to objects that are vulnerable to terrorist is too complex for bagatopa-rametrichnoy task and allows the presence of both an objective and a subjective component parts solutions. For razrabatyvanie appropriate analytical support necessary to take into account factors such as bias, incomplete and unclear input, fickle nature of indicators and factors that determine the sources of threats and objects of direction (regions) threats, the stochastic nature of the threats themselves.      Assess the level of threat will be carried out on the basis of available and potential events, and the factors that endanger vital energy, transport systems and technological hazards military targets and population Khmelnitsky region.       At the first stage determines the data required for the analysis of threat level, namely: - Qualitative and quantitative data regarding factors that characterize the threat level specified objects; - Statistical data on the number of detected activities that pose a threat to these objects.      In the second phase of the study analyzes the situation in the country (region), which can be a source of danger.      In the third stage, the quantitative assessment of the factors of tuples of the second level, which you can use an expert method.      In the fourth stage, the quantification of the level of threat objects (used algebra tuples).      The direction of future studies is to determine the criteria of threats that development proposals for countering these threats.      Analysis of the threats that risk assessment was carried out on four organizational levels: - Strategic (Central) - The National Security and Defense - Operational (regional, provincial) - Industry (ministry, agency) - Tactical (local) - a specific object, vulnerable to terrorist regard.      The results of threat analysis and risk assessment are presented to account for or to law enforcement officials regarding their concerns. The order of presentation (making) the results determined by the officer, who is supposed to guide the implementation. Neglect of these results is not valid.     Scientific novelty of the results of the work lies in the fact that it was the first on the basis of the methodology implemented a conceptual analysis of the terrorist state of vulnerability of the energy and transport sectors Khmelnitsky region, making it possible to characterize a group of threats and risks on which to work out the method of their evaluation.     For the study of the problem, we have been elected to the mathematical apparatus of the algebra of tuples, which allows you to efficiently build algorithms regarding the processing of data, which are of different nature, and move them to a numerical measurement. Subsequently, the level of threat model has been presented in the form of a column loaded with fuzzy near the top. The use of graph theory to solve this problem and allowed us to obtain a simple vidpovidayuchi real-time processes of the formula for the calculation of the elements that characterize the vulnerability of a terrorist state. To automate the mathematical solution of the problem worked out a software product that provides the performance of settlements on the definition of terrorist threats to vulnerable accordingly proposed algorithm. The developed program provides for the introduction of the window and edit data, as well as the window of opportunity for direct payments.     Justification of the need of the project.     We propose a systematic approach analyzing the factors that determine the construction and operation of terroristically vulnerable targets provided the opportunity to fully explore the structure and features of their construction.     The practical value of these results is because a large part of them can be implemented in the operational activities of the law enforcement official as Hmelnichchiny and dear friend of the region, and the proposed software system analysis of threat of terrorist vulnerable objects with the intuitive user interface provides prompt settlement of accounts, which cover nine areas of their construction and operation.     The methods, techniques and algorithms were tested during two round tables and a scientific-practical seminar with the participation of leading specialists of the state and the region in this particular field of protection of national security, representatives of HAS in the Khmelnitsky region, representatives of law enforcement agencies and local authorities, scientists .     Released the results of the textbook "Modern terrorism: global, national and regional trends", which is recommended for employees of state agencies, local authorities, law enforcement officials (Ministry of Internal Affairs, Security Service, Ministry of Emergency Situations of Ukraine), faculty, graduate students and students educational institutions and the public.

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