Defense-industrial complex: scientific and technological trends

   Upload file

 

http://doi.org/10.35668/978-966-479-140-0 

Defense-industrial complex: scientific and technological trends: monograph [Electronic resource] / T. Pisarenko, T. Kvasha, V. Bogomazova, A. Paladchenko, I. Molchanova, N. Shabranska, editor - T. Pisarenko. – Kyiv: UkrISTEI, 2023. – P. 318.

UDK 001.18; 002.513.5; 355/359 - 356.252.5

ISBN 978-966-479-140-0 (online)

Pysarenko T. V. — PhD in Engineering, Deputy Director of State Institution “Ukrainian Institute of Scientific and Technical Expertise and Information”, 180, Antonovycha Str., Kyiv, Ukraine, 03150; +38 (096) 376-38-14; tvpisarenko@gmail.com; ORCID: http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9806-2872

Kvasha T. K. — Head of the Department, Ukrainian Institute of Scientific and Technical Expertise and Information, 180, Antonovycha St., Kyiv, Ukraine, 03150; (044) 521-00-74; ntatyana@ukr.net; kvasha@uintei.kiev.ua; ORCID: 0000-0002-1371-3531

Bohomazova V. M. – PhD in Economics, leading researcher, Ukrainian Institute of Scientific and Technical Expertise and Information, 180, Antonovycha Str., Kyiv, Ukraine, 03150; (044) 5210080, Е-mail: verbog@ukr.net, ORCID:  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8756-3871

Paladchenko O. F. — Head of the Sector, Ukrainian Institute of Scientific and Technical Expertise and Information, 180, Antonovycha St., Kyiv, Ukraine, 03150; (044) 521-00-80; epalada@ukr.net; paladchenko@uintei.kiev.ua; ORCID: 0000-0002-5436-1608

Molchanova I. V. — Senior Research Associate, Ukrainian Institute of Scientific and Technical Expertise and Information, 180, Antonovycha St., Kyiv, Ukraine, 03150; +38 (044) 521-00-80; molchanova_irina@ukr.net; ORCID: 0000-0003-1679-5621

Shabranska N. I. — PhD in Economics, Senior Researcher of State Institution “Ukrainian Institute of Scientific and Technical Expertise and Information”, Antonovich Str., 180, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03680; +38 (067) 367-90-14; tasha.stanker@gmail.com; ORCID: 0000-0001-7731-281Х

Abstract. The monograph presents research results on global technological and scientific trends in the military based on research of international consulting agencies, international military alliances, state authorities of foreign countries, and analysis of world publications and patents in weapons and military equipment.
In the world, the top 10 military technologies of the future in 2024 include artificial intelligence, the development of more advanced protective modern defense equipment to counter new threats, robotics and autonomous systems (RAS), the Internet of Military Things, cyber defense technologies, immersive technologies, additive manufacturing, big data and quantum computing, 5G connectivity, blockchain.
The authors conducted scientometric and patent analyses to determine the most promising areas of technology development in the following areas: military aviation; means of air defense, radar, electronic warfare, and radio communication; armored vehicles; precision weapons and ammunition and military shipbuilding.
The results of such analysis provide an idea of future global technological trends for certain types of weapons and military equipment, as well as allow to single out the central, most promising areas of development and further implementation of new technologies for building a modern system of the armed forces of Ukraine.
The work results can be used by representatives of state authorities, experts, scientists, engineering personnel, and teachers of higher educational institutions.

Keywords: forecast, new technological trends, priority and promising areas, government decisions.

REFERENCES

  1. Androshchuk, H. O., & Kvasha, T. K. (2019). Patentnyi landshaft yak instrument prohnozuvannia svitovykh tekhnolohichnykh trendiv: sfera ozbroiennia ta viiskovoi tekhniky [The patent landscape as a tool for forecasting global technological trends: the field of armaments and military equipment]. Nauka, tekhnolohii, innovatsii. – Science, technology, innovation, 4 (12), 28-40. DOI: http://doi.org/10.35668/2520-6524-2019-4-04. [in Ukr.].
  2. Pysarenko, T. V., & Kvasha, T. K. (2020). Hlobalni tekhnolohichni trendy u sferi ozbroiennia ta viiskovoi tekhniky [Global technological trends in the field of weapons and military equipment]. K. : UkrINTEI, 88 p. DOI: 10.35668/978-966-479-117-2. [in Ukr.].
  3. Kvasha T. K. (2019). Svitovi naukovi ta tekhnolohichni trendy u sferi zabezpechennia natsionalnoi bezpeky: naukova dopovid [World scientific and technological trends in the field of ensuring national security: scientific report].
  4. Bohomazova V. M. (2023). Svitovi tekhnolohichni trendy u sferi «Viiskova aviatsiia»: monohrafiia [World technological trends in the field of "Military Aviation": monograph]. K. : UkrINTEI., 244 p. http://doi.org/10.35668/978-966-479-138-7. [in Ukr.].
  5. Kvasha T. K., & Androshchuk, H. O. (2022). Vykorystannia instrumentiv analityky intelektualnoi vlasnosti dlia vyznachennia tekhnolohichnykh trendiv u viiskovii sferi [Use of intellectual property analytics tools to determine technological trends in the military sphere]. Intelektualna vlasnist yak skladova systemy zabezpechennia natsionalnoi bezpeky (24.03.2022 r.): el. zbirn. mater. IV Mizhn. nauk.- prakt. konf. «Intern-mist KYIV – DNIPRO»; Upravlinnia proektamy, Efektyvne vykorystannia rezultativ naukovykh doslidzhen ta obiektiv intelektualnoi vlasnosti, 24–25 bereznia 2022 r. [Intellectual property as a component of the national security system (March 24, 2022): email. collection the mother IV International science - practice conf. "Intern-bridge KYIV - DNIPRO"; Project management, Effective use of research results and intellectual property objects, March 24-25, 2022.]. K. : Naukovo-doslidnyi instytut intelektualnoi vlasnosti NAPrN Ukrainy, P. 98-104. Access mode : https://drive.google.com/file/d/1DWgjTDqBSkQr3cz495wM0EGkT9y8RvjY/view [in Ukr.].
  6. Kvasha, T. K., & Kovalenko, O. V. (2022). Tekhnolohichni trendy u sferi novykh materialiv dlia enerhetyky ta viiskovoi sfery [Technological trends in the field of new materials for the energy and military spheres]. Hraal nauky – The grail of science, 12-13, 154-163. – Access mode https://ojs.ukrlogos.in.ua/index.php/grail-of-science/issue/view/29.04.2... [in Ukr.].
  7. Bohomazova, V. M., Kvasha, T. K., & Kovalenko, O. V. (2023).  Analiz svitovykh tekhnolohichnykh trendiv u sferi morskykh doslidzhen: monohrafiia [Analysis of global technological trends in the field of marine research: monograph]. K. : UkrINTEI, 417 p. – Access mode: http://www.uintei.kiev.ua/sites/default/files/an-mor-dos.pdf [in Ukr.].
  8. Pysarenko, T. V., Kvasha, T. K., Havrys, T. V. and other (2021). Analiz svitovykh tekhnolohichnykh trendiv u viiskovii sferi: monohrafiia [Analysis of world technological trends in the military sphere: monograph]. K. : UkrINTEI, 110 p. DOI : http://doi.org/10.35668/978-966-479-127-1 [in Ukr.].
  9. (2016). DK 020:2016 «Yedynyi klasyfikator predmetiv postachannia» ( zi zminoiu №1, zatverdzhenoiu nakazom Minekonomiky vid 24.01.2020 №84): Natsionalnyi klasyfikator Ukrainy [DK 020:2016 "Uniform Classifier of Items of Supply" (with amendment No. 1, approved by Order of the Ministry of Economy No. 84 of 24.01.2020): National Classifier of Ukraine]. Minekonomrozvytku Ukrainy. Access mode: https://www.mil.gov.ua/content/standarts/DK_020_2016_zmina_1.pdf [in Ukr.].
  10. Top five technology investment trends to watch in 2024. Access mode: https://www.airforce-technology.com/features/top-five-technology-investm... https://www.airforce-technology.com/data-insights/?wpsolr_sort=sort_by_d... https://www.globaldata.com/store/?s=technology%20trend&wpsolr_fq%5B0%5D=....
  11. Aerospace & Defense Statistics, Market Data & Facts. Access mode: https://www.globaldata.com/data-insights/aerospace-and-defence/.
  12. (2023). The top priorities in global security. Outlook Ebook 2024. Washington : Defense News, 40 p.
  13. McLaughlin, Matt (2023). How aircraft electrification is shaping the future of military aviation: Defense News Whitepaper, 6 r.
  14. Ground Combat – tomorrow’s equipment. Access mode: https://www.saab.com/fr/markets/france/sofins-2023/ground-combat. – Title from the screen.
  15. Patriot replacement radar defeats cruise missile in Raytheon test. Access mode: https://www.defensenews.com/electronic-warfare/radar/2023/11/20/raytheon.... – Title from the screen.
  16. US Army on track to field 24 systems in FY23 in bid for a modern forceiu. Access mode: https://www.defensenews.com/digital-show-dailies/ausa/2022/10/09/us-army....
  17. Friendly Fire. Access mode: https://www.aljundi.ae/en/studies-and-analysis/friendly-fire/
  18.  Howarth, Josh. 6 Military Technology Trends to Watch (2023-2026). Access mode: https://explodingtopics.com/blog/military-technology-trends
  19. Chinese scientists display new-generation electronic warfare weapon design to the world. Access mode: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3246608/chinese-scientis.... – Title from the screen.
  20. Military communications market to be US$116.96 billion by 2033: FMI. Access mode: https://telconews.asia/story/military-communications-market-to-be-us-116....
  21. The Future Modernisation of Ground Forces. Access mode: https://avnongroup.com/the-future-modernisation-of-ground-forces/
  22.  (2023). Developing future capabilities: robotics and autonomous systems.  Science and Technology Committee of the NATO PA Report – 034 STCTTS 23 E rev. 2 fin, 2023. 21 p. Access mode: https://www.nato-pa.int/document/2023-robotics-and-autonomous-systems-re.... – Title from the screen.
  23. (2022). DoD Zero Trust Strategy, 2022. Access mode: https://dodcio.defense.gov/Portals/0/Documents/Library/DoD-ZTStrategy.pdf. – Title from the screen.
  24. (2022). DoD Responsible Artificial Intelligence Strategy and Implementation Pathway. 2022. Access mode: https://media.defense.gov/2022/Jun/22/2003022604/-1/-1/0/Department-of-D....
  25. (2023). Cyberstrategy. US Department of Defense. Access mode: https://media.defense.gov/2023/Sep/12/2003299076/-1/-1/1/2023_DOD_Cyber_....
  26. (2023). Global Innovation Index 2023. Access mode: https://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo-pub-2000-2023-en-main-report-...
  27. Wilkins, Korie (2023). Sensors to shooters: using data to make decisions on a connected battlefield. Defense News Whitepaper. Access mode:  https://hub.defensenews.com/whitepapers/cae-sensors-to-shooters-whitepap.... – Title from the screen.
  28. Lubach, D. (2023). Building trustworthy ai solutions. Defense News Whitepaper. Access mode: https://hub.defensenews.com/whitepapers/finch-ai-building-trustworthy-ai.... – Title from the screen.
  29. NATO Exploring Quantum Technology for Future Challenges. Access mode: https://www.act.nato.int/article/nato-exploring-quantum-technology-for-f.... – Title from the screen.
  30. NATO Foreign Ministers address deterrence and defence, support for Ukraine, and partnerships. Access mode:  https://www.nato.int/cps/uk/natohq/news_220645.htm?selectedLocale=en. – Title from the screen.
  31. Cakirozer, U. (20230). Ensuring an allied defence industrial base for NATO’s new deterrence and defence baseline. NATO Parliamentary Assembly, 21 p.
  32. Solomon, E. Erlanger, S., & Schuetze, C. F. (2023). Schuetze, Scrounging for Tanks for Ukraine, Europe’s Armies Come Up Short. The New York Times. Access mode: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/02/28/world/europe/ukraine-tanks.html. – Title from the screen.
  33. (2023). Department of Defense. Fiscal Year (FY). Budget Estimates. Research, Development, Test & Evaluation, Army RDT&E, V. III, Budget Activity, 7 p.
  34. (2023). Pioneering new technology for Challenger 3 tank. Army be the best. Access mode: https://www.army.mod.uk/news-and-events/news/2021/06/pioneering-new-tech.... – Title from the screen.
  35. (2022). Armoured vehicle anti-missile system going to next level. Army be the best. Access mode: https://www.army.mod.uk/news-and-events/news/2022/09/armoured-vehicle-an.... – Title from the screen.
  36. (2022). Defence science and technology programmes and projects. Access mode: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/defence-science-and-technolog.... – Title from the screen.
  37. (2022). Italiia testuie onovlenyi tank C1 Ariete. Warspot. Access mode: https://warspot.ru/21409-italiya-testiruet-obnovlyonnyy-tank-c1-ariete. – . Nazva z ekranu.
  38. (2022). Rheinmetall develops future main battle tank. Defence blog. Access mode: https://defence-blog.com/rheinmetall-develops-future-main-battle-tank/. – Title from the screen.
  39. (2019). An electric tank? Army sees multiple advantages in dumping fossil fuels. The driven. Access mode: https://thedriven.io/2019/09/10/an-electric-tank-army-sees-multiple-adva.... – Title from the screen.
  40. (2023). Germany, France eye new partners for next-gen tank in 2024. DefenseNews. Access mode: https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2023/09/22/germany-france-eye-.... – Title from the screen.
  41. (2023). Armored Vehicle Market Size – Global Industry, Share, Analysis, Trends and Forecast 2023 – 2032. Acumen research and consulting, 250 p. Access mode: https://www.acumenresearchandconsulting.com/armored-vehicle-market
  42. Armored Vehicle Market Size & Share Analysis – Growth Trends & Forecasts (2023–2028). Mordor Intelligence. Access mode: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/armored-fighting-veh.... – Title from the screen.
  43. Top 10 Armored Personnel Carriers. Military Today. Access mode: https://www.militarytoday.com/apc/top_10_armored_personnel_carriers.htm. – Title from the screen.
  44. (2023). War in the 21st Century at the Strategic Level. Al Jundi Journal, 2023. Access mode: https://www.aljundi.ae/en/studies-and-analysis/war-in-the-21st-century-a.... – Title from the screen.
  45. (2023). The future of military force – the impact of emerging technologies and defense innovation on state force structures. Norwegian Defence Research Establishment (FFI. Access mode: https://www.ffi.no/en/publications-archive/the-future-of-military-force-.... – Title from the screen.
  46. (2016). Amazing New Military Technologies. Kiplinger. Access mode: https://www.kiplinger.com/slideshow/business/t057-s010-amazing-military-.... – Title from the screen.
  47. Kumara, S. Naveen, Balasubramanian, V., Malarvizhi, S., Hafeezur, A. Rahman, & Balaguru, V. (2022). Effect of Welding Consumables on the Ballistic Performance of Shielded Metal Arc Welded Dissimilar Armor Steel Joints. Journal of Materials Engineering and Performance, 31, 162–179. Access mode: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11665-021-06219-9#auth-S_-Nav.... – Title from the screen.
  48. Kumara, S. Naveen, Balasubramaniana, V., Malarvizhia, S.,  Rahman, A. Hafeezur, & Balagurub, V. (2022). Effect of failure modes on ballistic performance of Gas Metal Arc welded dissimilar armour steel joints. CIRP Journal of Manufacturing Science and Technology, 37, 570-583. Access mode: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1755581722000542?...!. – Title from the screen.
  49. Kumara, S. Naveen, Balasubramaniana, V., Malarvizhi, S. et al. (2021). Influence of Microstructural Characteristics on Ballistic Performance and Its Mode of Failure in  Shielded Metal Arc Welded Ultra-High Hard Armor Steel Joints. Trans Indian Inst Met, 74, 909–921. Access mode: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12666-021-02197-7. – Title from the screen.
  50. Ade F., Weld, J. (1991). Ballistic Qualification of Armor Steel Weldments, Vol. 70, P. 53–58.
  51. Demir, T., Übeyli, M., & Yildirim, R.O. (2008). Investigation on the Ballistic Impact Behavior of Various Alloys against 7.62 Mm Armor Piercing Projectile, Vol. 29, P. 2009–2016.
  52. Mishra, P. K., Jena, B., Hazarika, K., Kumar, S., & Balakrishna, T. (2010). Bhat An Experimental Study on the Shattering Behavior of a High Strength Armour Steel under Blast and Long Rod Penetrator Impact, Vol. 31, P. 3971–3981.
  53. Naeem, K., Hussain, A., Abbas, S. (2019). Review of Shaped Charge Variables for its Optimum Performance. Engineering, technology & applied science research,. 9 (6).
  54. Failure Mechanism of the Fire Control Computer CPU Board inside the Tank / L. Xiangrong, W. Guohui, C. Yongkang, Z. Bo, X. Jianguang // Materials. – 2022. – Volume 15. – Issue 14.
  55. Robust stabilizing control for oscillatory base manipulators by implicit Lyapunov method / Y. Guo, B. Hou, S. Xu, R. Mei, Z. Wang,V. T. Huynh. // Nonlinear Dynamics. – 2022. –Volume 108. – R. 2245–2262.
  56. Guo, Y., Xi, B., Huynh, V. T. et al. (2020). Robust tracking control of MBT autoloaders with oscillatory chassis and compliant actuators. Nonlinear Dyn, 99, 2185–2200. Access mode: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11071-019-05397-5. – Title from the screen.
  57. Guo, Y., Xi, B., Mei, R.,  Xu, S. & Wang, Z. (2020). Singular-perturbed control for a novel SEA-actuated MBT autoloader subject to chassis oscillations. Nonlinear Dynamics, 101, 2263–2281.
  58. Gustafsson, O., & Glendor, P. (2019). Infrared signature simulations of a mobile camouflage for a heavy military vehicle. Proceedings Volume, Target and Background Signatures, V; 111580D. Access mode: https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2533452. – Title from the screen.
  59. Yang, S., Chen, H., Gao, L., Qi, B., Guo, P., & Deng, J. (2021). Study of Spatial Distribution Characteristics for Dust Raised by Vehicles in Battlefield Environments Using CFD. IEEE ACCESS, 9, 48023–48038.
  60. Biermann, A. (2021). A reassessment of the tank battle between 4th Armoured Brigade and Panzerregiment 5 during Operation Crusader in North Africa on 19 November 1941. SCIENTIA MILITARIA, 49 (1), 91 – 114.
  61. Colin Demarest. Directed energy weapons making jump from sci-fi to real world. Access mode: https://www.c4isrnet.com/battlefield-tech/2023/09/18/directed-energy-wea.... – Title from the screen.
  62. (2022). Lt General Naresh Chand (Retd). Technology, 2. Access mode: https://www.spslandforces.com/story/?id=799&h=Trends-in-Munitions. – Title from the screen.
  63. The Future of Artillery in modern warfare, 2022. Access mode: https://www.aljundi.ae/en/studies-and-analysis/the-future-of-artillery-i.... – Title from the screen.
  64. U.S. Naval. Institute The Naval Institute American Sea Power Projec. Access mode: https://www.usni.org/american-sea-power-project
  65. (2023). Japan Successfully Performs World’s First Ever Railgun Test From Ship At Sea. Shipping News. Access mode:  https://www.marineinsight.com/shipping-news/japan-successfully-performs-...
  66. (2023). Time to Recalibrate: The Navy Needs Tactical Nuclear Weapons…Again. U.S. Naval Institute, 149/7/1,445. Access mode: https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2023/july/time-recalibrate-na...
  67. (2023). Beyond 2040 – EDA analysis warns on future warfare trends and technology imperatives for European defence. European Defence Agency. Access mode: https://eda.europa.eu/news-and-events/news/2023/10/23/beyond-2040---eda-...
  68. Fifth EU Council Decision in support of the HcoC. Access mode: https://www.nonproliferation.eu/hcoc/fourth-eu-council-decision-in-suppo...
  69. Uk Defense Market Trends. Source. Mordor Intelligence. Access mode: https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/united-kingdom-defen...
  70. UK’s Future Destroyer to Feature Laser Weapons: Minister. The Defense Post. Access mode: https://www.thedefensepost.com/2023/07/28/uk-future-destroyer-laser/
  71. Future Acquisitions for The Norwegian Defence Sector 2022–2029. Maritime Domain. Access mode: https://www.regjeringen.no/contentassets/595f6354301a4d7b9d63ef1c8e48648.... – Title from the screen.
  72. Seven Critical Technologies for Winning the Next War: Report of the csis international security program. Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). Access mode: https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/2023-04/230418_Ha....
  73. LaGrone, S. (2022). UPDATED: Navy’s Force Design 2045 Plans for 373 Ship Fleet, 150 Unmanned Vessels. U. S. Naval Institute. Access mode: https://news.usni.org/2022/07/26/navys-force-design-2045-plans-for-373-s.... – Title from the screen.
  74. Pittaway, N. More missiles, less vehicles: Australia unveils strategic review. Defense News. Access mode: https://www.defensenews.com/global/asia-pacific/2023/04/24/more-missiles.... – Title from the screen.
  75. (2022). Royal Navy’s surface fleet. UK Parliament. House of Commons Library. Research Briefing. Access mode: https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-9697/. – Title from the screen.
  76. Maritime security: Council approves revised EU strategy and action plan. Council of the EU. Access mode: https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2023/10/24/marit.... – Title from the screen.
  77. Mazzucchi, N. (2023). Naval rearmament, European perspectives. Fondation Robert Schuman, 667. Access mode: https://www.robert-schuman.eu/en/european-issues/0667-naval-rearmament-e.... – Title from the screen.

 

English

 

  • Національна академія педагогічних наук України
  • DB «Technologies of Ukraine»
  • DB "Research, developmental works and dissertations of Ukraine"
  • DB «Innovative technologies and developments»
  • DB «Scientific periodicals of the Ministry of Education and Science of Ukraine»
  • DB «Scientific and technical events»