Human factor: Methodology of proactive qualimetry of air traffic controllers error threats

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http://doi.org/10.35668/978-966-479-120-2

Human factor: Methodology of proactive qualimetry of air traffic controllers error threats : monograph

UDC 656.7:658.012.011.56; 656.7:004; 621.396.933

ISBN 978-966-479-120-2

Reva O. M.  D. Sc. in Engineering, Professor, Principal Researcher of State Institution “Ukrainian Institute of Scientific and Technical Expertise and Information”, Kyiv, Ukraine, ORCID: 0000-0002-5954-290X

Kamyshin V. V.  D. Sc. in Pedagogy, Senior Researcher, Acting Director of State Institution “Ukrainian Institute of Scientific and Technical Expertise and Information”, Kyiv, Ukraine, ORCID: 0000-0002-8832-9470

Borsuk S. P.  D. Sc. in Engineering, Associate Professor, Postdoctoral researcher at Wenzhou University, Wenzhou, China; ORCID: 0000-0002-7034-7857

Nevynitsyn A. V.  PhD in Engineering, Associate Professor, Dean of the Faculty of Air Traffic Services Flight Academy of the National Aviation University,  Kropyvnytskyi, Ukraine; ORCID: 0000-0001-7000-4929

Shulhin V. A.  PhD in Engineering, Assistant Professor, Dean of the Flight Operation Faculty, Flight Academy of the National Aviation University, Kropyvnytskyi, Ukraine; ORCID: 0000-0001-7938-8383

Review by:  

Azarskov V. M. – Professor of the Aerospace Control Systems Department of the National Aviation University, Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, laureate of the State Prize of Ukraine in Science and Technology and the M.K. Yangel Prize of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine; ORCID: 0000-0001-6602-7482

Burov O. Yu. – Leading Researcher of the Institute of Information Technologies and Teaching Tools of the APS of Ukraine, Doctor of Technical Sciences, Senior Researcher; ORCID: 0000-0003-0733-1120

Mashkov O. A. – Vice-Rector for Research of the State Ecological Academy of Postgraduate Education, Doctor of Technical Sciences, Professor, Honored Worker of Science and Technology of Ukraine, Honorary Worker of the Space Industry of Ukraine.

Abstract. The monograph is devoted to the expert study of the dangers of typical mistakes made by air traffic controllers in their professional activities. Taking into account the influence of the human factor on flight safety and ICAO recommendations, an up-to-date list of n = 21 typical errors was formulated and the systems of preferences of air traffic controllers on their dangers were comprehensively studied.
The differential method for establishing a comparable risk of errors has been substantiated and implemented, as well as the α-method (α-coefficient) for establishing the degree of coincidence of the advantages different systems, which is based on comparing the same errors not by the ranks that they occupy in different systems of advantages, but by the corresponding these ranks of nonlinear significance coefficients. The methodology for a comprehensive assessment of error threats has been substantiated and implemented, based on the qualitative (linguistic) indicators of their hazards and frequency of manifestation recommended by ICAO. The use of a multiplicative approach contributes to obtaining more reliable results that help prevent statistical errors of the I-II kind. Using the methods of the pattern recognition theory, a multi-step technology for detecting and filtering out marginal opinions has been developed and implemented, which makes it possible to build group preference systems with the required level of the opinions consistency.
The development of the methodology for the application of classical decision-making criteria as strategies for building group preference systems with different levels of risk was implemented. The normalized index of indistinguishability of error hazards was introduced. The Kemeny median for nonparametric optimization of consistent group preference systems on error hazards was applied. Defuzzification of qualitative rank estimates of error hazards by providing them with the corresponding weighted significance coefficients has been carried out. The hypothesis about the possible influence of cross-cultural factors on the attitude to the dangers of errors of Ukrainian and Azerbaijani air traffic controllers was tested.
The monograph is addressed to scientists and specialists who deal with the problems of the influence of the human factor on flight safety. It can be useful in the educational process of aviation operators of the "front line" (air traffic controllers and flight crew members), as well as in providing methodological content of flight safety management systems. Given the versatility of the improved and developed methods, it can also be useful for scientists and specialists who use expert technologies in their activities.

Keywords: flight safety, human factor, air traffic controllers, attitude to the danger of errors, individual and group preferences’ systems, Kemeni median, prioritization method, weighted coefficients of errors’ hazards.

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